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☆ Ron Insana: A key market indicator is flashing a warning signal about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Dow Industrials represent the productive capacity of the economy, as its original focus was on the goods-producing sector. Over recent decades, the 30-stock Dow Industrials has been expanded to include important tech, telecom and services companies. The Dow Transports, whose constituents move goods and passengers across the country and around the globe, represent final demand. .DJI .DJT YTD line The Dow Industrials vs. Dow Transports in 2024 At the moment, the divergence is relatively mild. The Dow Theory might still have the benefit of experience and wisdom.

Persons: Dow Industrials, that's, it's, Ron Insana Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow Transports, Transports, Utilities, Dow Theory, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ A lower-risk trade on a delivery giant with cheap valuation heading into earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We'll review the fundamentals of a delivery giant and how to trade it before earnings this week. FedEx reports earnings on Thursday after the bell. The trade: Calendar spread However the "gloom" of economic pressures is another matter. Buying the July 250 puts and selling the weekly 250 puts against them. The trade: Selling March 22, $250 Puts Buying July 19 $250 puts The logic behind this trade is that the headwinds of operating challenges may already be baked into the valuation of FedEx at present levels.

Persons: New York City's James A Organizations: Farley Post, FedEx, Dow Jones Transports, week's Locations: New York, FedEx Memphis

☆ There's been a rebound in volatile shipping stocks. The market opportunity isn't over, report says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

During 2022-2023, ocean carriers used some of those reserves for their own buying sprees to expand their footprints. While adding to the ocean carrier bunker fuel costs, they are being compensated.. "The Red Sea diversions are a good thing for ocean carriers. The big question mark is the duration of the diversions and the surcharges the ocean carriers can charge. Those two regions have steadily taken market share away from the West Coast ports, with shippers also benefitting from investments in ports infrastructure. "The West Coast ports have strengthened infrastructure," Iampieri said.

Persons: Marc Iampieri, Cash, Iampieri, Jeff Bezos, It's, Paul Brashier, Brashier, AlixPartners Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Dow Jones Transportation, Fortune, Convoy, Amazon, Technology, Ocean, Maersk, CNBC, ITS Logistics Locations: Panama, Red, East Coast, AlixPartners, Flexport, Europe, North America, Asia, West Coast, East, Gulf, Mexico, West, Los Angeles, Long

☆ Uber joins the Dow Transports. Here's why it's a curious addition
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Uber is going into the Dow Transports on Monday, marking the first change to the index since Dec. 7, 2021, when Old Dominion replaced Kansas City Southern. Under Dow Theory, the Transports should confirm a new high in the Dow Industrials. Uber is a funny add because unlike many of the other index components, it's not really a shipping company. The add likely reflects the Dow Transports index committee's belief that this is a transportation company, even if it just shuttles people instead of packages. This follows a well-known pattern called the S & P inclusion effect.

Persons: Avis, Uber, Stocks, underperform Organizations: Dow Transports, Old Dominion, Kansas City Southern, Dow, Dow Jones Transport, Dow Theory, Transports, it's, Uber, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Union Pacific, CSX, Kirby Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Matson, Old Dominion

☆ Walgreens earns a unwanted title as it's booted from the Dow for Amazon. How it happened
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Walgreens has the dubious distinction of being one of the stocks that has had the shortest duration in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. At $22, Walgreens has the lowest stock price in the index, which traditionally would make it a target for replacement. "Since the indexes are price weighted, the Index Committee evaluates stock price when considering a company for inclusion. Right now, the highest priced stock, UnitedHealth Group , is more than 23 times the value of the lowest priced stock, Walgreens. Finally, one wonders how Uber executives feel about the decision to put them into the Dow Jones Transportation Index.

Persons: Dow Jones, Dow Industrials, Uber, CNBC's Robert Hum Organizations: Walgreens, Dow Jones, Alliance, Dow, UnitedHealth, Walmart, WBA, General, General Electric, U.S Rubber, GE, Dow Jones Transportation, JetBlue, Transports, Avis

☆ Amazon is replacing Walgreens in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Walgreens Boots Alliance is getting the boot from the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average and Amazon is taking its place. The change means that investors who bet on the Dow Jones Industrial Average will now have exposure to Amazon’s stock performance. Amazon’s stock rose more than 1% and Walgreens’ stock fell 3% in after-hours trading on Tuesday. S&P Dow Jones Indices also announced that Uber would replace JetBlue Airways in its Dow Jones Transportation Average, which is a 20-stock index that tracks the performance of US transportation companies. Walgreens’ stock is down 68% in the past 5 years, while JetBlue’s stock has fallen 59% in the same time period.

Persons: Dow, Dow hasn’t, Uber Organizations: CNN, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones Indices, Dow Jones, Apple, Microsoft, Dow, Nvidia, Tesla, Walgreens, JetBlue Airways, Dow Jones Transportation, JetBlue

☆ Here's why Apple stock is still worth holding despite Wall Street's shortsightedness
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-04 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

Asked a double-edged question: "What can you do to make my Apple stock go up." On Friday, we had so many storylines going it is hard to get your head around Apple's Vision Pro launch and its import. Most of all, however, the customer satisfaction level allows him to experiment with something really radical: the Vision Pro. No one is buzzing about how Apple can't meet demand for the Vision Pro. People walk in an Apple store on the day the Vision Pro headset goes on sale in Los Angeles, Feb. 2, 2024.

Persons: Apple's, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Matt Horween, Tim Cook, Cook, AirPods, Goldman Sachs, Apple, Ray, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mike Blake Organizations: Costco, Apple, Meta, Apple's Vision, Web Services, Reality Labs, Dow Jones Transportation, Federal Reserve, Huawei, Vision, Major League Soccer, CNBC Locations: China, Republic of China, Los Angeles

☆ These market signals suggest recession fears aren’t gone yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Dow Jones Transportation Average, which tracks 20 US transportation stocks from railroads to airlines to delivery, has fallen 1.6% so far this year, underperforming the broader Dow industrials’ 2.2% gain. As that optimism dims, some investors worry that the decline in transportation stocks suggests rough times ahead for the economy. The transportation index tends to fall when the economy deteriorates, as demand for travel and goods wanes. Turmoil in the airline industry also likely contributed to the recent slide in transportation stocks. But net profit fell 14% to €4.9 billion ($5.3 billion) as its tax bill rose.

Persons: CH, , ”, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Russell, Howard Silverblatt, Dow, effusively, ”, Luschini, Jason Heller, “ I’m, Hanna Ziady, Sewing, Read, Tod Steward, He’s, It’s, Parija Kavilanz, Steward, Steward hasn’t, “, haven’t, that’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow, CH Robinson Worldwide, United Parcel Service, Avis Budget Group, Alaska Air Group, Federal Reserve, Alaska Airlines Boeing, Max, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Dow Jones, Tesla, Coastal Wealth, Deutsche Bank, Super Bowl, CNN Locations: New York, Seattle

☆ Record highs in the stock market are defying a 100-year-old indicator
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Record highs in the stock market have yet to be confirmed by a more than 100-year-old indicator. Dow Theory says both indexes need to move in tandem to confirm a bull market in stocks. AdvertisementRecord highs in the stock market have yet to be confirmed by a more than 100-year-old indicator: Dow Theory. The current divergence between the two major stock market averages represents a tactical risk for US equities in 2024, according to a recent note from Bank of America. The continued weakness in the Dow Jones Transportation Average is a red flag because transportation stocks are viewed as a leading indicator for the stock market and economy.

Persons: Dow, —, Stephen Suttmeier, Charles Dow Organizations: Dow Transportation, Dow, Dow Theory, Service, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Transportation, Bank of America, " Bank of America, FedEx, UPS Locations: lockstep

☆ The Dow's transportation index is ringing alarm bells about the broader stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A decline in transportation stocks is sending a worrying signal about the broader stock market. Transportation stocks are viewed as a leading indicator because they point to the movement of goods around the country. AdvertisementAdvertisementA steady decline in transportation stocks is sending a worrying signal about the broader stock market and its chances to stage a year-end rally. If companies are seeing a slowdown in growth and their stock prices fall, it could be a grim warning for the rest of the economy and stock market. AdvertisementAdvertisementAnd if the latter happens, crucial support levels would be broken and investors' highly anticipated year-end rally in the stock market, partly explained by bullish seasonals, would be on thin ice.

Persons: —, Hunt, Dow Jones, bullish seasonals, J.B, Shelley Simpson, Robert Isom, We're, Isom, Joe Hinrichs, Hinrich, Dow, Manuel Blay, TheDowTheory.com, Dow Industrials Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Transportation, United Airlines, American Airlines, CSX Transportation, Dow, Industrial, CNBC, CSX Locations: Israel

☆ Wall Street ends up on earnings optimism; eyes remain on Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) led gains among S&P 500 sectors, although all of the sectors were higher on the day. Third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are estimated to have increased 2.2% year-over-year, up from an estimated increase of 1.3% a week earlier, according to LSEG data Friday. At the same time, global leaders are trying to make sure that the Middle East conflict "remains contained," she said. The S&P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and 6 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 33 new highs and 206 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles Schwab, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Quincy Krosby, Patrick Harker, Lululemon, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi, Aurora Ellis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Major U.S, Bank of America, Johnson, Netflix, Dow Jones, York, Philadelphia Fed, Activision Blizzard, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Major, Gaza, Charlotte , North Carolina, Bengaluru

Consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) and materials (.SPLRCM) led the gains across major S&P 500 sectors, while utilities (.SPLRCU) and energy stocks (.SPNY) lagged behind. Third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are estimated to grow 2.2% year-on-year, LSEG data showed on Friday. Investors also await economic data including retail sales for September and the Philly Fed Business Index for October later this week. Lululemon Athletica (LULU.O) added 9.6% as the sportswear apparel maker is set to join the S&P 500 index this week, replacing Activision Blizzard . The S&P index recorded nine new 52-week highs and six new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 29 new highs and 148 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles Schwab, Dow, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Jerome Powell's, Patrick Harker, Lululemon, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Moderna, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Bank of America, Johnson, Tesla, Netflix, Investors, Philly, Dow Jones, Federal, Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Apple, Activision Blizzard, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, New York State, China, Bengaluru

With U.S. crude oil prices rallying on Tuesday, Nolte also cited recent strength in oil prices as a damper to the Fed's efforts to push inflation back to 2%. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 29, 2023. The Dow Jones Transport index (.DJT) finished off 2.2%, weighed down by a slide in airline stocks as rising oil prices implied higher fuel costs. Shares of Airbnb (ABNB.O) rallied 7% while Blackstone (BX.N) added 3.6% on news that their stocks would join the S&P 500 index. The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and 25 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 142 new lows.

Persons: Blackstone, Christopher Waller, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Nolte, Sam Stovall, Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, advancers, Sinéad Carew, Shristi, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Dasgupta, Richard Chang Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Monday, Monday . U.S, Treasury, Sylvest Wealth Management, Traders, Labor, CFRA Research, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Transport, United Airlines, U.S, Blackstone, Oracle, Barclays, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Monday ., Elmhurst , Illinois, New York City, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Wall Street suddenly appears confident America will avoid a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average index has gained 3.2% this month, outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. The Dow’s gains suggest that investors are starting to buy more economically sensitive stocks as recent data show inflation slowing. That, in turn, indicates they’re becoming increasingly optimistic that the economy could avoid a recession. Conventional Wall Street wisdom says gains in the blue-chip index tend to precede rallies across the broader market. The Dow Jones Transport Average Index, an index of 20 stocks including railroad, trucker, airline and freight companies, has gained 24% this year.

Persons: ”, Adam Phillips, That’s, Bryan Mena, Read, Matt Egan, “, Patrick De Haan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Wealth, Federal Reserve, Union Pacific Corporation, Ryder System, Dominion Freight Line, Fed, New, American Automobile Association Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Expectations can matter more than numbers
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tesla's record revenueTesla booked record revenue of $24.93 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of almost 7% thanks to price cuts. [PRO] The Dow TheoryThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has a lesser-known sibling: the Dow Jones Transportation Average. CNBC Pro's Bob Pisani explains the "Dow Theory" and why it might matter to traders.

Persons: Tesla, Alex Sherman, Goldman glitters Goldman Sachs, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, Netflix, IBM, Revenue, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Transportation Locations: U.S

☆ Transports and industrials are both breaking to new highs, a sign the rally is broadening out
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Dow theory: a primer The rules around the Dow Theory were formulated more than 120 years ago by Charles Dow himself (though he himself never used the term Dow Theory). "Dow Theory was formulated when the Dow Industrials were stuff makers, and the railroads were stuff movers," Tom McClellan, editor of the McClellan Market Report, told me. New Dow Theory also confirms a new high There have been attempts to formulate a "New Dow Theory." Tuesday, the S & P 500 closed at 4,554 (up 19% this year), and the Nasdaq closed at 14,354 (up 37% year-to-date). The S & P 500 is up 9% since May 1.

Persons: Dow, Charles Dow, Tom McClellan, McClellan, David Keller, Keller, hasn't, It's, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow, Dow Theory, Dow Transports, Dow Railroads, FedEx, UPS, Nasdaq Locations: U.S, uptrends

☆ Futures muted as bond yields rise on rate jitters
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.01%, S&P 0.06%, Nasdaq 0.09%June 8 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were largely flat on Thursday as government bond yields hovered near recent highs on worries that major central banks could keep raising interest rates. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) closed lower on Wednesday, with megacap stocks leading declines as U.S. bond yields rose after the Bank of Canada (BoC) surprised markets with an interest rate hike. The 2-year Treasury yield , which tends to move in step with short-term rate expectations, rose for a third day to 4.56%, as investors await the Federal Reserve meet next week. Eventually we don't think the Fed will hike in July," Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar said. They see a 50% chance of a rate hike in July.

Persons: Jefferies, Mohit Kumar, Russell, Thierry Breton, Ryan Cohen, Zhu Jiang, Sruthi Shankar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Canada, BoC, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Treasury, Reserve, Traders, U.S . Labor Department, Dow e, Meta, Inc, GameStop Corp, Thomson Locations: U.S, KBW, China, Bengaluru

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Recession worries simmer beneath US stock market rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, April 28 (Reuters) - Economically sensitive areas of the U.S. stock market are flashing warnings over growth, even as major equity indexes edge higher. Beneath the surface, however, areas of the market tied to economic sentiment such as transports, semiconductors and small-cap stocks dropped in April, while so-called defensive sectors are outperforming. “People are starting to more defensively position themselves,” said Aaron Dunn, co-head of the value equity team at Eaton Vance. "They are talking about demand being down and they are ridiculously important shipping companies,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and David GregorioOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

This helped push the Dow Jones Transport Average index (.DJT) down 3.6%, for its biggest one-day drop since September. The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 238.05 points, or 1.98%, to 11,799.16 in its biggest one-day percentage decline since March 9. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) dropped 3.9% as First Republic (FRC.N) shares fell 49%, hitting a record low. General Motors Co (GM.N) shares fell 4% after it cautioned that 2022 price gains will not last as the year goes on, even as it lifted full-year profit and cash flow forecasts. On U.S. exchanges 10.78 billion shares traded compared with the 10.32 billion average for the last 20 sessions.

☆ Drop in Transportation Stocks Foreshadows Weakening Economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Vicky Ge Huang | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Delta posted a quarterly loss and said consumers’ behavior is shifting in ways that can be hard to predict. Photo: ed jones/Agence France-Presse/Getty ImagesEconomically sensitive stocks, like those of transportation and small-cap companies, are trailing the broader market, reflecting growing investor concern about a potential recession. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, which tracks 20 large U.S. companies ranging from airlines to railroads to truckers, has underperformed the Dow Jones Industrial Average by about 8.3 percentage points since early February. Shares of Norfolk Southern Corp., American Airlines Group Inc. and J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. have dropped at least 10% over the same period.

☆ A 100 year-old stock market indicator is flashing bearish signals that point to more pain ahead for investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

There is a bearish divergence developing between the Dow Jones Transportation Average and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. While the transports index made a higher high in January, the transportation average did not. Dow Theory is a more than 100-year old technical indicator that suggests if transportation companies are doing well, so should the broader economy. Dow theory suggests that the relationship between the two indexes could send a broader signal to investors about the future direction of the stock market. "These bearish divergences into late 2022 and early 2023 show a disconnected equity market, keeping the bearish signal for Dow Theory from early 2022 intact," Suttmeier said.

U.S. labor costs increased at their slowest pace in a year in the fourth quarter as wage growth slowed, bolstering expectations of the Fed slowing the pace of its interest rate increases. "As the Fed meeting begins today, they'll be looking at every index that could give them a better judgment on inflation and this is one of them," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities LLC. "Labor costs are still high, but this means costs have come down, and that's a key factor for future wage inflation." United Parcel Service (UPS.N) jumped 4% on strong quarterly earnings, boosting the Dow Jones Transport Average index (.DJT). The S&P index recorded four new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 32 new highs and 14 new lows.

☆ Forward Air CEO on what's next for global demand after an 'unusually slow' holiday quarter
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-27 | by ( Cnbc.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Forward Air shares are delivering on something few companies have as the year draws to a close. The stock is beating the Dow Jones Transportation Average and the S&P 500 in the fourth quarter. Forward Air CEO Tom Schmitt recently spoke with CNBC's Frank Holland about the holiday shipping season, the volume his customers are expecting for Lunar New Year, and the supply chain, trucking, and pricing outlook for 2023. Schmitt said spot rates are down and that "transactional softness" will remain, but contract will continue to be strong. "But I expect more normal ... closer to pre-pandemic with this year Lunar New Year, but we're not there yet," Schmitt said.

Fears about the Federal Reserve's plan to keep raising U.S. interest rates have weighed heavily on equities since its policy meeting last week. Among the S&P 500's 11 major sectors, the energy index (.SPNY) gained most, finishing up 1.52% as crude oil prices rose. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 64 new highs and 399 new lows. On U.S. exchanges 10.52 billion shares changed hands, compared with the 11.15 billion average for the last 20 trading days.

☆ Slide in Transportation Stocks Flashes Warning About Economy
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-25 | by ( Hardika Singh | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Transportation stocks were hit by FedEx’s plan to raise shipping rates amid lower volumes of goods moving globally. Shares of transportation companies are falling twice as fast as the hard-hit U.S. stock market, reflecting investors’ expectations that a recession is likely ahead. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, which tracks 20 large U.S. companies ranging from airlines to railroads to truckers, has declined 12% this month. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are down about half that much.

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